Prices have been steadily falling since their peak in late '03 and early '04. There was another precipitous drop (especially in many highly desirable figures) at the end of 2006. Since then, the market has largely stabilized.
I don't think the 25th has had any real impact on the market. The real impact was the move to DTC which killed retail and then the end of that DTC prior to the announcement of the 25th. The new buyers who are largely supporting the 25th have no interest in vintage toys as they only buy what's available at retail. That's why you see modern figures that were readily available in multiple case assortments (like Flint) still fetch $40 on Ebay while mint, complete '82 Joes can be purchased for less than half that.
Bandalero wrote:
Also ARAH exclusives still look to be helluva strong - Roddy Piper nearly $400,
That figure is expensive because it's Piper. Thus, it generates a LOT of interest from wrestling fans who don't otherwise care about Joe. All of the other con exclusives that were produced in similar or lower numbers have no where near that level of pricing. (Even the jet pack troopers have fallen considerably in recent months.) Were that just some guy in a kilt, it would be a $20 figure. Since it Piper, the interest in it remains higher.